Archive The Diary

May 9, 2026 · 2026 #16

Civilization: What Is Worth Doing?

AI and Us, an evolving landscape

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## Editorial

### Civilization: What Is Worth Doing?

Civilization is the story of human beings escaping necessity.

For most of history, we had to do almost everything ourselves. We had to hunt, farm, carry, build, count, copy, remember, repair, and defend. A great deal of human time was not chosen. It was commanded by survival.

Technology changes that bargain. Agriculture, writing, machines, electricity, software, networks, and now AI each move some part of life from raw necessity into infrastructure. What once required human labor becomes a system. What once required daily effort becomes available. The meaning of progress is not that humans do nothing. It is that humans get more choice about time.

AI and robotics are probably the next step in that same story.

That is why I think the standard question, “What jobs will remain?” is too small. Of course jobs will change. Some will disappear. Many will be redesigned. New ones will emerge. But the larger question is: what is worth doing when more of what had to be done no longer has to be done by us?

That is a civilization question. It is also a personal one.

Norman Lewis gives this week its philosophical anchor. Writing against the ghost of Paul Ehrlich, he argues that the real divide is whether we see people as burdens or as creators of abundance. Ehrlich saw mouths. Julian Simon saw minds. Lewis puts it plainly:

> “The future will not be saved by having fewer people with smaller dreams.”

That shifts the goal from passive consumption to active creation. A resource is not simply something found in nature. It becomes a resource when knowledge makes it useful.

Sand becomes chips. Oil becomes energy. A field becomes food through drainage, seed science, fertilizer, logistics, markets, and accumulated human intelligence.

Branko Milanovic adds the necessary discipline. Even in “99 percent Utopia,” scarcity does not disappear. Better restaurants remain scarce. New inventions are scarce when they first arrive. Unpleasant work that cannot be automated still needs inducement. Money, queues, status, taste, and priority rights reappear wherever quality differs or coordination is hard.

So abundance is not the end of choice. It is the expansion of meaningful choice.

That is where AI becomes interesting. If machines can write code, produce financial models, draft memos, search documents, build apps, and operate software, then the scarce thing is no longer simply labor. The scarce thing is direction or leadership.

Rex Woodbury’s essay on knowledge reproduction gets close to the heart of this. Lewis knows humans have to determine the purpose of a deck. Woodbury knows that AI can make the deck, the memo, the model, and the second opinion.

And both would agree that AI cannot yet supply the responsibility attached to them. It cannot know who should see the deck, which recommendation should lead in the meeting, or who bears the cost if the advice is wrong.

This is the distinction that matters. The artifact becomes cheap. The direction and accountability do not.

Aaron Levie sees the same change from the software side. Agents are becoming users of software. They will not sit politely in front of a UI. They will call APIs, consume permissions, move data, and perform work on behalf of people and organizations. Levie’s warning to software companies is blunt: bundle agent access into the human seat or “you’re DOA.”

Esther Dyson then asks the governance question. If agents act in public, who are they? Who owns them? Who is liable when they transact, negotiate, or misrepresent themselves? Her “.agent” proposal is modest (i.e., it is doable) and the instinct is right. Accountability has to attach somewhere.

Tomasz Tunguz gives the operating warning. A three-person team running twenty agents may look fantastically productive until one of the three humans leaves and a third of the institutional memory disappears. The agents keep moving. The judgment may not.

WIRED shows the failure mode already arriving. Thousands of vibe-coded apps are exposing corporate and personal data on the open web. The tools made building easier. They did not automatically make builders responsible.

This is a pattern across the articles below. AI makes execution cheaper. It does not make purpose cheaper or easier.

### The Big Build

The infrastructure stories say the same thing in physical form. Caset Newton’s line is useful: “Think railroads, not crypto.”

The AI boom may overbuild. It may disappoint investors. It may create spectacular financial wreckage. But like railroads, it may also leave behind infrastructure that changes what society can do.

Jessica Lessin’s cloud-backlog charts show how concentrated this buildout has become. OpenAI and Anthropic are now giant demand signals inside Microsoft, Oracle, Google, and Amazon. Anthropic’s SpaceXai deal turns a product-limit announcement into a 300-megawatt infrastructure story. And yes, Anthropic is growing up. As is Elon.

Data Gravity reminds us that intelligence is not weightless. Long-context agents run on memory, bandwidth, chips, and energy. xAI’s move toward neocloud, the landlord economics of AI infrastructure, and pressure on the power grid all point in the same direction: intelligence is becoming a physical business.

### Civilization - The Plan?

Compute is not a civilization strategy. Energy is not a civilization strategy. Capital is not a civilization strategy. They are capacities. A society still has to decide what to do with them.

The venture articles this week show capital wrestling with the same question. Crunchbase reports a huge April funding number, but the Series B data shows a thinner and more selective market underneath.

Samir Kanji says venture is splitting into access capital at the top and hard company-building at the bottom. Robinhood’s venture fund shows retail demand for private-market exposure. Dan Gray argues that the ten-year fund clock no longer matches the liquidity reality of up to two decades.

Mark Rubenstein’s Nasdaq-100 history adds another lesson. An index is not just a list. It can become a product, a brand, a licensing machine, and a distribution flywheel. That matters for SignalRank because private-market exposure will not become legible to public investors by magic. It needs selection, structure, trust, and a wrapper people can understand.

Access to private companies is becoming a product. Liquidity is becoming a product. AI scarcity is becoming a product. But access to what? Liquidity for what? Scarcity in service of what?

### The Why and the What

Tech and regulation pieces belong in the same editorial, not in a separate mental file.

The government wants model safety and first access. The Trump administration is rediscovering AI review under new language. David Wallace-Wells writes that AI populism is arriving because people are beginning to see data centers, job anxiety, and model power as one political bargain. Julia Angwin sees Meta entering its zombie era, still huge but increasingly dependent on ad load, debt, AI spending, and extraction from aging platforms.

But these observations are negative. What do we want? And how do we get it? These are the right questions.

### What are we trying to build?

Capacity without purpose is madness. Power without a plan is waste. Technology without an end game - a goal - produces new things faster than it changes life.

Perhaps this is too human-centered. Perhaps advanced AI systems will eventually set goals, form preferences, negotiate tradeoffs, and define agendas better than we do. Nope, I don’t think so.

That is not where we are today. Today’s systems can optimize brilliantly toward objectives given to them. They can surprise us. They can expand the range of what an individual or small team can attempt. They can make execution feel almost magical. Honestly my day job loves that. But I chose to build [https://agent.signalrank.com](https://agent.signalrank.com) this week. My AI coded but it was my goal.

AU does not yet possess the human thing at the center of civilization: wanting.

Wanting is not the same as prompting. It is not a task description. It is the deep choice about what kind of future is worth pursuing.

That choice happens at two levels.

At the individual level, it asks what we do with our time when necessity gives us back more of it. Do we learn, build, create, care, socialize, start companies, raise children, make art, govern institutions, or disappear into entertainment optimized by machines that know our weaknesses too well? And what a gift - time.

At the societal level, it asks what we build and protect. More housing or more obstruction? More energy or more managed scarcity? More science or more fear? More open opportunity or more access-controlled private markets? More resilient infrastructure or more beautiful dashboards over brittle systems?

A society that cannot get its young people out of the house may struggle to create the relational economy Ezra Klein thinks becomes more valuable after AI.

A society that has compute but no purpose, trust, or accountability, that has capital but no end goals, that has infrastructure but no vision to build, has not solved the problem of civilization. It has merely automated parts of decline.

So I come back to the title.

Civilization is not measured only by how much work gets done. It is measured by how much human time is freed from necessity, and then by what people choose to do with that time.

AI and robots may take over more of the execution layer. Good. That is what tools are for. But the human job does not vanish. It moves up the stack.

We have to decide what is worth doing.

And then we have to build a society with enough freedom, competence, courage, and responsibility to do it.