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Andrew Keen
Hello, everybody. it is saturday june the 4th 2026
Keith Teare
July the 4th, Andrew. July the 4th.
Andrew Keen
Oh, I think I'll start. Hey, my geography is... That's not geography. What is it? What's the word? My knowledge. yeah my my dates are bad okay ready yeah Hello, everybody. It is July the 4th, 2026 celebration of you know what I might actually put this interview out on July the 5th but it's worth noting that we're speaking on the 250th anniversary of America's birthday foundation and it's the day for our weekly tech roundup with my old friend Keith Teer. That was The Week newsletter and surprise surprise his editorial this week focuses on what he calls america the beautiful so happy anniversary keith what's your i was thinking about this before we went live what's your relationship with the united states you came here quite late in your life didn't you relatively late certainly compared to me
Keith Teare
yeah it just shows how old i am because i've actually been here 30 years now i can't i came here initially in 1996 and spent some time in new york realized how superior american um investing landscape let's say risk appetite was compared to the uk and determined that um living in the uk was for fools so i moved here so what year did
Andrew Keen
96 96 so you've been so your life has really been pretty much split or relatively split between the uk and the us how do you do you have a us uh passport i do i'm a i am a citizen and you have a very a very core identity as an entrepreneur as a startup guy does that connect with your identity as an american do you think of yourself as both an american and a startup entrepreneur
Keith Teare
actually i don't think of myself as an american i mean it's a it's one of the labels i have and i embrace it that's fine but it's not a singular label um i'd say entrepreneur is way more core for me and then there's probably other labels uh like um i don't know um i think of myself as essentially um a critical thinker that wants change that's my real core
Andrew Keen
and you've read three americans you have three big american boys and a boy they're young men now um so so you're adding to what you call the america the beautiful what's the editorial this week keith what are you writing about how you command how are you combining this week in tech with the July 4th celebrations?
Keith Teare
I think it's really two things. Firstly, it's an acknowledgement of America's success over the last 250 years. America really symbolizes human growth, human progress economically, lifestyle-wise and in politics. I mean, the fact that we have Donald Trump as president voted for by more Americans than voting against him symbolizes that the people still rule because most intellectuals, the last thing they wanted to see was Trump winning. But he won't and that's...
Andrew Keen
I thought American intellectuals liked Trump.
Keith Teare
there are some
Andrew Keen
who do aren't there well one american intellectual yourself is shall we say ambivalent so on the one hand your editorial talks about the achievement of america abundance wealth creation and freedom but on the other hand you're not some sort of mega fellow are you keith i mean you recognize that not everything is perfect in the american garden in in july 2026
Keith Teare
the pinnacle of capitalism is still flawed easy for me to say but look capitalism at its best still has huge swathes of poor people who can barely eat and so any idea that it's perfect this idea of the perfect union is deeply flawed as a concept and always has been And because I believe that America has kind of peaked in world terms, it's only going to get worse unless policy kicks in to make sure it doesn't. So we're at a moment where the next 250 years there is a lot to play for, but it's not a foregone conclusion that it looks anything like the past 150 years if you look at it through American glasses.
Andrew Keen
and you're looking at it through american glasses you're an american living in palo alto or you are half american at least one of the pieces that i forwarded to you which you included in the newsletter this week and i found this astonishing it's from the wall street journal which is not biased although i think they would enjoy this sort of piece is that the united states added 1200 new millionaires a day last year which is astonishing especially when it's compared with the rest of the world the chinese only added a little over over five million over the year america added 23 and a half million oh no these are countries with the most millionaires so america has almost 24 million china only has a little over five and then we get down to italy and netherlands south korea or australia france uk all under three million so it's really an astonishing statistic i don't know what it tells us but it certainly speaks of the prosperity amongst some for america
Keith Teare
well look the the math underlying that is gross domestic product per capita uh what is the average salary and and and in america it's uh not just salary but income it's around 85 000 a year per head obviously it's highly skewed between rich and poor but the average is 85 000 a year china is on 20 something thousand dollars a year so just the math alone will tell you that someone who owns a house that's worth more than a million dollars which probably has to be the case for most of the middle class in on the coastal areas of america california in particular
Andrew Keen
where there are you can't even buy a hut in uh where you live in palo alto for less
Keith Teare
than about 10 million can you exactly and under 60 million 50 60 million people in california if my memory serves me right so those numbers really um are disguising a highly skewed set of people that live either in california or new york and maybe boston that live in homes worth more than
Andrew Keen
a million dollars your editorial this week focuses not on the past but on the future you ask in the editorial how to make america more prosperous both literally i think and in symbolic cultural and perhaps uh communal or or uh political terms uh you refer to an interesting piece uh by scott nolan america's next 250 years he was writing as a guest in the paddy mccormack blog what's nolan saying and and how does he connect the next 250 years of america with tech
Keith Teare
um well nolan focuses uh very very temporally on energy uh he he draws the conclusion that the next 250 years is predicated on abundant and inexpensive energy and and uh you know without that everything that uh ai prefigures including uh robotics but also intelligence um can't develop and so his answer to the scarcity of energy is to focus on um a nuclear renaissance and space um which seems to be coming consensus well that's muskian isn't it it is muskian yeah very muskian but musk muskian without the musk
Andrew Keen
without all these distractions of Elon's bizarre politics.
Keith Teare
I don't think he's...
Andrew Keen
We're not having another Musk argument on such a nice day, Keith. Let's leave that one. I shouldn't have brought it up. My fault. I acknowledge it. Move on.
Keith Teare
Yeah, but no, it is a good article the next 250 because it predicates itself on what's happened since 1776 and then talks about the future you know the future requires innovation as it as did the past uh
Andrew Keen
when it was yeah i mean it the thing with energy is really interesting but i wonder whether there's a lot of unintended consequences i mean when america began fracking which i think explains what their energy lead over the rest of the world particularly in europe no no one even no one made the argument even the most extreme frackers they didn't make the argument in terms of ai can we be sure that in another 50 or 100 or certainly 250 years energy will be so central we might have fixed it entirely or maybe we'll be in a post ai age which energy becomes irrelevant
Keith Teare
yeah i think i think it would be a fairly solid prediction to say that energy eventually will be close to free because we will figure out how to leverage the sun and also nuclear fusion and when when you do that energy scales close to free so i don't think energy will will remain a bottleneck i do strongly believe energy will be decentralized that is to say it won't require a national grid which will be a huge innovation why because you'll be able to produce energy locally very very cheaply and distribute it locally without relying on a grid on a on a on a global or national grid so I I don't see energy as a bottleneck but I do see it as a challenge because those things i just described are still unsolved problems there are really good people working on the man making progress which is why you can predict they'll probably be successful i wouldn't want to put a timeline on it because that that requires scientific breakthroughs
Andrew Keen
which are highly unpredictable all right and and that comes back to your notion of abundance you and i have talked about that you have your own manifesto in this editorial of five things uh that america can do to make itself a better country not in the next 250 years but certainly in the 25 or 50 associated with ai maybe you can mention some of these uh some of
Keith Teare
these points, Keith. Yeah well the context here is Sam Altman in The Financial Times offering apparently offering the US government a 5% ownership stake for sovereign wealth fund in open ai right he wrote
Andrew Keen
the editorial in the in the ft on july the first and everyone's picked up on this the the fact that you know that two interpretations the slippery slatter the slippery sam crowd i i guess assumes he's just selling out to donald trump others get are a little more generous yeah
Keith Teare
and now there's some context there as well um Sam Altman joined the Dario Amadai regulation camp this week as well, although he argued for a global regulator, not just national. National was his plan B, but he said he would prefer if it was global. And that, I believe, is triggered by the success of the Chinese model, is it GLC2, G something C2, GLM2, uh 5.2 that's it glm 5.2 which um is a frontier model by capability but is open source and can be run on your own hardware and there is a flood of american companies running towards using it and replacing open ai and anthropic due to cost and only using open ai and anthropic for a small subset of highly um difficult use cases so you're gonna you you we're moving to this uh uh it's called um a token router concept in the enterprise where the uh and and um palantir and and video yeah alex carp just was
Andrew Keen
on cnbc uh making some strongly anti-anthropic open ai remarks standing back a little bit keith um the headlines about open ai and talks to give trump administration a five percent stake in the company one of the things i've thought we've talked about this uh in the last few months is this convergence of the american and chinese model is this more evidence trump's interference or the america u.s states interference in anthropic and open ai altman's willingness to allow the state to own and in some ways operate his company does that suggest that the chinese and american models are actually becoming quite similar similar in some ways
Keith Teare
but honestly i think the key driver here is altman and amidai being scared of open source models and wanting regulation uh and so i think it's very self-serving the fact that they're offering five percent which is a pitifully small amount is indicative of that they're not really serious
Andrew Keen
about maybe their their opening uh offer they may go a bit higher there's a lot of money there i mean if they're worth trillions of dollars five percent of two or three trillion is a lot of money Yeah, and I still think OpenAI is going to be worth $10 trillion. You've said that. But is Sam beginning to become like Dario? You always used to love Sam and hate Dario. Now are they in the same camp?
Keith Teare
I think when it comes to wanting government protection against open source models, yeah, they're converging. They're very different in other ways, of course. My manifesto that you called it, I'm saying. and i'm here i'm echoing others so it's not my idea it should be 75 percent not five percent well only 75 percent
Andrew Keen
of what that this the government should own 75 percent of open ai of
Keith Teare
the shares yeah uh not the government but a sovereign wealth fund which i think is not the same as the government i think it's very important it isn't the government it's a sovereign wealth fund and that sovereign wealth fund itself should be um owned by every citizen every citizen when you're born you should get shares in it and it should pay dividends every year based on liquidity and you know that's an american idea probably you need a global version of that idea
Andrew Keen
if this is really going to work and my friend somehow doubt you'll get a global and it actually brings more into context the increasing sensitivity over citizenship and immigration. Because if what you're calling for actually happened, let's just say that every citizen owns a little bit of 75% of OpenAI and Anthropic and all the big tech companies of the future, then being an American citizen would be a very lucrative business.
Keith Teare
You know, they did something very similar in Norway.
Andrew Keen
Yeah, but Norway had all the natural resources.
Keith Teare
I don't know if there's any real difference between being the leader in AI and natural resources from a value point
Andrew Keen
of view I still I think yeah I wonder what Norway's policy is in terms of I'm guessing that Norway is a very very hard place to immigrate to and certainly to get citizenship but I don't know I don't I don't know the details
Keith Teare
on citizenship I think immigration like in most of Europe is is easier especially if you're a refugee because they have very liberal...
Andrew Keen
Right, well let's sidestep that one. So you've got 75% sovereign wealth fund. What else on your manifesto in the US to make America even greater
Keith Teare
Yeah, so number two is the sovereign wealth funds has to be citizen-owned not government owned. It should pay dividends.
Andrew Keen
Just before, how would that work? How is it citizen-own? You mean everyone would vote in it? Everyone would be a shareholder? How does that work?
Keith Teare
you start with everyone's a shareholder and it would be roughly divided and every year as new people are born um they get shares at birth just like already they're getting a thousand dollars at birth so it's clearly doable um uh so yeah it's it's citizen owned um uh it it would pay dividends that's the key so as as as um as as the value grows you would sell some shares every year to pay dividends from the from
Andrew Keen
a central fund but to borrow some some famous words of george alwell wouldn't some citizens be more equal than others in this or would sam altman have i mean obviously he'd have his own ownership of open ai as an entrepreneur and founder but would he have the same amount of stock as a person who cleans his home in terms
Keith Teare
of allocations from the sovereign wealth fund it would only be equal as in everyone every individual so a family of five would get more shares in a family of two but um everyone would get the same allocation um of course in the rest of their life they'd be unequal they wouldn't this wouldn't overrule all their other wealth so
Andrew Keen
um it doesn't create some state state stock ownership so we got that and then you also just to add the other three enable dividends to be paid to all shareholders extend this idea beyond the citizens of a single country which doesn't seem very realistic and then don't think nationalization think distribution of the legacy of human progress to all using a decentralized model which It sounds to me like you're having your cake and eating it.
Keith Teare
Well, it's innovative. And by the way, I am not making... This isn't my idea. I'm actually pulling out of the ecosystem what is becoming an interesting conversation and I'm picking my favourites and these are my favourtes. These are the ones I would focus on. I agree with you number four is the hardest because I don't know how that would work. It would need the companies to decide that it's global. and the Sovereign Wealth Fund would be something they would set up on behalf of everybody, that obviously is doable if they choose to do it. They're not looking like they want to do It. In fact, the philanthropic part of Sam Altman disappeared this week with his 5% offer. I wouldn't be optimistic about the companies leading this and I think the only way it's global is if the companies do lead it so that's probably...
Andrew Keen
Yeah, it's very unrealistic. One of the other things that struck me about today i mean of course it's the 250th anniversary of the american founding but we're also six months into 2026 keith you and i've been doing a weekly tech show there was an interesting piece in the atlantic about why everyone is suddenly talking about universal basic capital which is what you're talking about in your manifesto. astonishing it's it seems to me that nobody was talking about that six months ago it's astonishing how fast things have moved yeah well it's
Keith Teare
a it's a symptom of the fact that people are starting to believe that ai will automate eventually everything um over the next 50 years let's say certainly quit more quickly than 250 years um and if that's true you need to find a way to distribute uh the means of life to people and universal basic capital is being favored over universal basic income because it gives you ownership and therefore repeated um wealth yeah i mean basically
Andrew Keen
in american language it creates a nation of uh investors rather than uh welfare welfare what reagan famously called welfare queens or kings
Keith Teare
or whatever else welfare is obviously a terrible idea as a working-class kid myself who was on free school meals there's nothing more demeaning than feeling like you're being given a handout yeah but what's
Andrew Keen
the difference it's just language whether you you describe it as welfare or ownership still the same thing
Keith Teare
no I think there's a massive difference and I speak personally I mean the difference between people with more than you giving you something to help you versus you have a right as a citizen to a piece of the pie very different emotionally psychologically in terms of longevity and reproducibility it's very very different
Andrew Keen
it's astonishing though how this this idea of universal basic capital which is a very radical idea certainly in the context of free market american capitalism has suddenly become fashionable i wonder where it isn't fashionable i'm not sure anyone's talking about it politically i mean trump as as as a very smart opportunist might jump on it i don't see anyone in the democratic party jumping on it which should be their natural area i would have thought that i mean you've talked about bernie sanders in the past and aoc is the left of the democratic party beginning to talk more openly about universal basic capital the
Keith Teare
the a little bit but the problem is that their historical ideology gets in the way and they frame it as welfare they want the government to own this and then they want welfare they want politicians to decide how the wealth is spent so they missed the whole distributed automatic part of this um and they they have a centralized government-owned vision and that obviously that won't fly so they're gonna they're gonna shoot themselves
Andrew Keen
when you say obviously it won't fly i mean politically or in practice it won't fly
Keith Teare
the the you know do you that really is nationalization well
Andrew Keen
then you have hugo chavez coming to america um and one would have expected the abundance wing of the democratic party the ezra klein derrick thompson wing to jump on it too but i don't see any of the politicians on on that side articulating i mean it could be their core ideology in 2028 universal basic capital i mean i'm guessing that someone like gavin newsom who is equally opportunistic politically as donald trump might jump on it here's
Keith Teare
the difficulty universal basic capital requires acknowledging that capitalism can create huge wealth and and of course that is a narrative violation on the left so so the idea that you're pro-capitalist but everyone should own it is is a natural idea for the left but they're stuck in in their anti-capitalism framing so that seizing the means of production uh through government diktat is their chosen method
Andrew Keen
and that just isn't a popular idea is there then a profound incompatibility between the idea of universal basic capital and what the left of the democratic party the mandamis of the world describe as democratic socialism can you be a democratic socialist and be in favor of universal basic capital
Keith Teare
i'm not super familiar with the democratic socialists uh andrew so i don't want
Andrew Keen
to well you know the general position of mandami and saunders and aoc whether i'm not sure that i mean a lot
Keith Teare
of these issues are just semantic well no look they're in the history of ideas on the left um really post lenin the left is dominated by the idea of seizing the state through elections using taxes and spending on good things as their core and so any idea of the withering away of the state which is a left-wing idea historically
Andrew Keen
so what's the so i take your point but what's the state's role in universal basic capital they're still creating the rules actually if if you do it
Keith Teare
to a sovereign wealth fund the state becomes less and less significant actually the state shrinks what happens is this sovereign wealth fund becomes a universal means of distributing wealth and the actual state infrastructure other than providing services like roads or health or education the state shrinks
Andrew Keen
so in a weird way the open ais and anthropics and googles of the world become the state in in in this idea of universal basic the states that exist
Keith Teare
because they're still common things we all need and i mean police roads defense many things we still need and presumably the state would be a shareholder in this fund as well it wouldn't all be going to people uh to pay for some of those things so the state doesn't go away but it becomes an administrative state and money is distributed through a sovereign wealth fund it's it's actually interesting yeah
Andrew Keen
and it's certainly something that we will be coming back to time and time again you said that one of the reasons why universal basic capital is becoming so fashionable is because people are beginning to recognize how profound the ai changes will be you link to a piece uh by eric bryn johnson of stanford formerly of mit old friend of the show uh who has uh who was one of the early economists to call the ai entry level jobs crisis um what's bryn johnson saying and what are other economists saying about now this obvious impact of ai on work on jobs well he's at the center of quite
Keith Teare
a big debate this week um because there's a whole body of other stuff that came out that said companies using ai are hiring faster than companies who are not and that is the opposite point that the use of ai creates opportunities that you have to hire for internally and so there's a job boom in these AI companies both Amazon and Microsoft this week announced plans to put up to 6,000 engineers on the front line with customers to help them implement AI for example and so there's a short term debate about well will AI really take jobs or is it actually going to create jobs now in a snapshot world both things are true and there are more jobs being created around ai that is definitely true and the more ai you are the more you're creating those jobs that's also true but if you stand back and look at 5 10 15 years i think our friend at stanford is more true is more more correct which is that automation is going to accelerate the things that you need a front engineer for today will be done by agents tomorrow And so the long run is a declining employment for sure. And anyone who sees it differently hasn't looked at, you know, Musk's plans on robots. It is definitely declining employment, which doesn't have to be a bad thing. It can be a really good thing actually for humanity.
Andrew Keen
So what happens Keith and we've talked about this many times in the past if everyone starts losing their jobs? and this universal basic capital initiative gets implemented what are people gonna
Keith Teare
do all day well what i'm gonna do is you see this this is my new camera uh i am uh i am a hobbyist with photography in fact there's a nikon camera taking a picture of this fuji camera i'm gonna do whatever the f i want and be happy
Andrew Keen
well one fellow cameraman sadly passed away this week a good old friend of yours o malik one of the founding bloggers very influential blogger he died early 59 years old um i know you were quite impacted by his death um and by what people have written mg siegler wrote a very nice obituary and he got an obituary in the in the times tell us remind us of malik's place in the history of tech keith
Keith Teare
well om was um actually a scientist uh and he graduated from a top indian university in in uh in science chemistry i think it was um and uh became the voice of deep tech especially wireless communications and telecoms in the late 90s um writing about deep tech he was a very deep thinker thoughtful very generous person who became an expert in technology in fact if you go back and read everything he wrote since the 90s it's a chronicle of what's happened in america over those years he ended up creating giga ohm which was his own branded site and hired quite a lot of people to work with him at the same time that tech crunch existed Him and Mike Arrington became good friends, competitors but friends at TechCrunch. And they co-hosted the Crunchbase, The Crunches, the awards ceremony every year. So I've known throughout that entire period as a... I wouldn't say we were friend but we were acquaintances and we spent a wonderful few days in Iceland on a photographer. He's a photographer he's yeah and
Andrew Keen
In your editorial this week you have some nice, a nice photograph of him And then one of yourself what do you think looking back? You were around as you say you were one of the co-founders of TechCrunch controversial tech crunch controversial co-founder with Mike Harrington what do you think Ohm's career and his work tell us about our current situation the opportunities and the predicaments that we've talked about the opportunity of universal basic capital but the reality of more and more inequality and in some ways the impoverishment of of general life and culture in the united states um you know i don't want
Keith Teare
to put words in his in in his now deceased mouth but um like a lot of indian intellectuals um was a liberal i would say with a capital l and a humanist and often wrote critically about the extremes of capitalism and favorably about some of the remedies you know doing his own blog in a way was that was an interesting hybrid he became a capitalist to be independent and his independence led to freedom of choice for him until it didn't. There's a long story about how GigaOM ended up going away. And then he joined True Ventures with John Calhan and the other founders there. But he definitely prefigured, I would say there wouldn't be a Substack today unless there was a GigaOM and a TechCrunch. You know, there's a direct line from the New York Times to GigaOM and TechCrunch to Substack to
Andrew Keen
that was the week um well thank you um and without you um we wouldn't be here uh finally keith there was an interesting piece in the times this week by a former biden uh official uh jennifer harris about the the title was the generational force hollowing out the economy she argues that basically all the ai money is impoverishing the rest of the economy what what would be the message of somebody like um as you say a liberal a progressive to people like harris uh not kamala harris but jennifer harris and other people who are many other progressives who are deeply suspicious
Keith Teare
and hostile to tech well i i think um they'd empathize actually without necessarily being as acerbic um it is true that money chases opportunity and wherever the greatest opportunity is the money will flow it's a little bit like water going going on the most natural path so it isn't something you could stop it it's organic to the system we live in and it does mean that there's less money for other things why because the other things are not as lucrative in in the short term and money seeks to replicate money so I don't think she's describing anything badly I think she's describing it quite well I also think it would be wrong to be against it the future is in recreating the infrastructure we live on and money will flow there and that recreated infrastructure probably lifts us all up so ultimately it's a good thing even if there's pain in various places as a result of it
Andrew Keen
well there you have it keith teare's take on not just the american 250th year anniversary but the half year anniversary of 2026 when it comes to tech lots more i'm sure keith in the next six months on universal basic capital and the impact of ai on jobs and prosperity happy 250th keith you're going to be uh celebrating this evening or this afternoon with hot dogs and fireworks or are you going
Keith Teare
to be doing something else i think yeah fish and chips and
Andrew Keen
the world cup yeah thrown out of the country don't you know that the rebellion was
Keith Teare
against the british no it was the king not the british i'm against the king too i'm with the americans on that one
Speaker 2
beautiful for spacious skies